Because of ICM, you have more fold equity in satellites as other players are also playing tighter, so they’re less likely to call all-ins and more likely to have a stronger hand when they do. You could also add “3bet bluffs’ to your range to “balance” this out and not be so predictable. However, consider betting on certain disconnected flops when your pair is vulnerable and there is a lot of fold equity to be gained and weak hands that will likely call you. Let’s plug that into the MDF formula: $75 / ($75 + $37. For example, in the. The air is heavy with cigar smoke and whiskey. Let's use the formula to calculate our EV! EV = (0. Fold equity is an important concept, although it's a concept that tends mainly towards tournaments. The inversion is also true, the worse the turn is for your range, the more you want to check and play defense. Sadly, this. ENROLL FOR JUST $5. What Does Fold Equity Mean? The profitability of any bet is determined by combining your calculated fold equity with your pot equity (the percentage likelihood of winning the pot with your hand at that moment. A continuation bet, by definition, is a mini-bluff using the fold equity you've gained by being the pre-flop raiser. 25x = defend with 60% of hands. For example, if there’s a 33 percent chance your opponent will fold to a bet in a $100 pot, you have 33%. It is the added equity you gain when you believe that there is a possibility of your opponent folding his hand. But the equity of those same hands plummets when up against a range that will call a medium-sized or big bet. In Summary. 4. Rip it in. Fold equity - factorii pe care trebuie să îi iei în calcul. Remember that capitalising on fold equity to steal blinds was one of the primary reasons for open-raising. One of the big decisions you’re going to come. In SplitSuit’s video “ Simple Squeezes ” he introduced and used a powerful spreadsheet that he created. The effectiveness of the second barrel into an overcard of the turn on 9T7s and T62r boards will vary greatly. 14 BBsWe fold out equity from worse hands at the lower end of the 3-bettor’s range. Shuffle up and deal! Official subreddit for all things poker. The balance between collecting on fold equity and equity realization is a constant struggle for good players and something you will need to actively work on. You’ll often be in the spot where you have the worst blockers to bluff with. You still need to 3bet T9s and stuff like that at some frequency since you need board coverage, but the frequency becomes lower and. For a more in-depth and complete strategy on fold equity, check out the 888poker article: How Poker Equity Can Make Your Game InvincibleWell, knowing that the chances of hitting the gutshot are just 8. Position is a really big deal in poker. Business, Economics, and Finance. For hands with tiny value equity like those small pocket pairs, fold equity is the main source of equity, so 22 can get more stronger hands to fold than 33 can. Strong draws will have lots of pot equity, so fold equity won’t be so much of an issue (in other words, weaker draws. We should also look for some bluffs that will play well in a multiway 3-bet pot. However, BU does not want to make big bets. This means you. Para calcular el EV de una subida de farol en el flop tenemos que examinar nuestra fold equity. The Global Poker Masters. A line graph or scatter plot of a player’s hand vs range equity, sorted from weakest to strongest, such that the equity of every individual combination in the range is represented. (pot $400) The first line of The EV calculator is the “expected profit” Should I plug in $400? that’s the pot $240 + cbet of$160 . Analyze the results. Solvers often fold hands with more than enough raw equity and call hands without sufficient equity. A term referring specifically to the amount of equity a player gains from likelihood of an opponent folding to a bet. Infographic: Pre-Flop Ranges. There are many times when folding is actually the best option with these draws. The amount of equity a player gains from their opponent folding when they make a bluff. Contra un rango del 10% tienes una equity del 53%. The first skill in Ed Miller’s The Course — and really, the first skill any poker player needs to master — is having a good pre-flop range. If our opponent folds, we win the entire pot regardless of how strong our hand is. $33 buy - in, $50K GTD, towards the end of a 4 HR reg period, avg stack of 75K chips I believe, here is the hand: Stacks:UTG - UTG (T128,932)UTG+1…Red Chip Poker. Use Non-Made Hands With Backdoor Flush Draws to Bluff. 短碼(~50bb)我傾向pre-flop有fold equity(對手會蓋小手對)直接shove all in搶盲Villain’s 3-bet suggests a strong range, though it should contain a number of bluffs for balance: Red = 3-bet, Pink = 3-bet or fold, Orange/red = 3-bets or calls. GameStop Moderna Pfizer Johnson & Johnson AstraZeneca Walgreens Best Buy Novavax SpaceX Tesla. Remember to use fold equity concepts against players who understand poker. Vs. If you’re playing at a 9-handed table, you should fold it from the two earliest positions (UTG and UTG+1 in the graphic below). I get the concept (somewhat) of putting certain hands in certain situations into your range. When there is a high likelihood of you being called, you're better off betting made hands than making bluffs. Flop :8c :9h :Th ($240) Vs a SB range of 22-JJ, Aqo+, AJs, KQs we have about 35% equity on the flop. A satellite poker tournament is a qualifying event to another, usually larger buy-in event. Weak draws won’t have a lot of pot equity, so you will need more fold equity to make them profitable. e. If the initial raiser was a loose-aggressive player (LAG) I’m pretty sure I’d go in, but from a TAG raiser I’m more inclined to call as I don’t think I have a ton of fold equity against. It might seem weak to fold preflop, but we have a hand that likely is not ahead of our opponent's range and thus likely also has little ability to create fold equity. The check-raises happen just over 10% of the time with strong top pair and sets for value. Hey all, relatively new player here. Fold Equity = Chance of your opponent folding x your hand equity. The purpose of this guide is to make decisions as simple as possible for us and as hard as possible for our opponents while retaining large amounts of implied odds and fold equity. We Cbet $160. When you have very little fold equity (i. 5. Yet in reality, making it 2. )Using a small bet size against an inelastic calling range is very advantageous for your bluffs, as it allows you to generate a good amount of fold equity without having to increase your bet size. You should honestly go even tighter than the suggested ranges to adjust for having less fold equity and higher rake at micros lol @ spewing live due to being in online mode, I literally just did that too. She flinches and pricks her finger with the needle. This is because standard equity calculations assume the pot gets checked down, disregarding equity realization, position, implied odds, range advantage, and other postflop factors that affect your hand’s actual value. 252K subscribers in the poker community. You won the entire pot employing fold equity and your opponent folding. Exploiting. We “win” when our. Luxemburgh • 6 mo. Equity dictates you fold, because now you are a 2 to 1 underdog to win the hand, and with having to pay 9,000 to win 16,500, the pot is not offering you 2 to 1 odds. Yes, AK loses some value because you don't have as much post-flop fold equity via image in low stakes games against the rec fish, however, AK is still an awesome hand in the low stakes games and I would argue it is a better hand in the low stakes game vs the higher stake games where you do have more image related fold equity. The difference is that rather than considering our pot-equity to obtain values of P (winning) and P (losing) we will consider our fold-equity. Fold Equity = 對手蓋牌的機率 x 當對手蓋牌你的 equity 增加. Our entire goal is to help you play smarter poker every step of the way. GameStop Moderna Pfizer Johnson & Johnson AstraZeneca Walgreens Best Buy Novavax SpaceX Tesla. ago. 6591 x -$154 = -$101. Hero bets 12BB, BB folds. A reraise made after a three-bet has been made. He said to have equity of R $ 2,9 millions. We go 5 to the flop. A protection bet aims to get your opponent to fold a hand with a good amount of equity against your hand. For more on equity realization, check out our article Equity Realization - Playing from the Big Blind. 3. R/Poker is currently in Blackout Mode due to…119 votes, 28 comments. Moreover, this is not the sort of spot where we are likely to generate mistakes from our opponent: something. It equates to: The first half of the formula can be estimated based on reads on opponents or their previous actions. 11-15 Big Blinds. Villain Calls and You Win: 0. In a nutshell, though, it is the likelihood that your opponent will fold to your bet. To better understand fold equity, check out our detailed fold equity guide. The difference is that rather than considering our pot-equity to obtain values of P (winning) and P (losing) we will consider our fold-equity. There are exact hands that you can defend with against a reraise but a lot of charts will basically be having you raise or fold. The concept of fold equity has always been with us, though its name is somewhat new. The higher your fold equity, the more likely an opponent will fold against a bet or a raise. Good opponents will usually have a fold to continuation bet somewhere around 42%–57% at the lower stakes. BB folds. graph of CO vs BB in a single-raised pot with 40bb stacks in an MTT on T ♦ 8 ♠ 5 ♣ flop:Fold Equity ist die Wahrscheinlichkeit, dass der Gegner auf einen Einsatz hin folden wird. Fold equity is an important and fairly simple concept that can help you to understand when your bluffs might be profitable. When that happens your fold equity is gone and there is less value in three-betting light. If you don't have the legitimate best hand then you don't have the most equity in the pot. $1/$2 Multiway Pots. The bulk of your equity in the pot is no longer fold equity because you have a pair. GTOWizard helps you to learn GTO and analyze your game. Before you go all-in with your next semi-bluff, or go all-in preflop with a bluff, use this tool to make sure your play is +EV! Fold Equity. Let me give you a. By following these guidelines, you will be ahead of most of your. Tip #2: Avoid Slow-Playing Trips or Two-Pair. The opponent checks, and it’s your turn to act. But it is really important in maximizing your fold equity when you push your small stack. So it's still more correct to leave yourself enough behind to generate more fold equity against made hands. 100bb Effective Stacks. As you can see, there are a few counter-intuitive lines you ought to be taking with these middling pocket pairs, both when hitting the jackpot and when missing it. Ranges can interact with the. Plus, you’ll actually get some value from hands like 5x and Ace-high. Probabilité que l'adversaire se couche après une grosse mise. But should you bet it? No. Fold equity is especially useful when trying to decide between two different lines of attack – a passive line and an active line before the river. In a simple 2bet pot here, with few callers, it is not +EV to shove this hand. 68. SB calls and all else fold and we go to the flop HU. 3. Barreling Skills. It’s that simple! Let’s look at an example to calculate the poker equity using the rule of 4 and 2. Now would be a good time to switch gears and benefit from your confused opponents paying you off light. Anybody who "might" fold to a 20% pot river bet will definitely fold to a 70% pot river bet though. Equity Denial. This hand in a vacuum is a fold. Business, Economics, and Finance. Insane Habit Getting in the Way: You don't think about what bet size will maximize your value or maximize your fold equity. GameStop Moderna Pfizer Johnson & Johnson AstraZeneca Walgreens Best Buy Novavax SpaceX Tesla. Fold Equity. 65 * -$500) = $350 – $325 = $25. 1. The effective stack, or how much you are shoving. A combo draw could be something like a flush draw + 2 overcards to the flop, or a. Fold Equity in PracticeThe more fold equity you have, the more semi-bluffs you can add to your check-raising range. General Theorem: Project a nitty image but 3bet like a. A shove of 17k into a 10k bet has very little fold equity, whereas a 3x 20BB call has a lot more. 폴드 에퀴티 (Fold Equity) 플레이어의 베팅에 대하여, 상대 플레이어가 승부를 하지 않고 폴드할 가능성을 말합니다. Mostly. This hand is from 2NL online, playing four-handed. As you can see, our edge here is very small, but we should still make this. or just $240 (the pot) Smaller bet sizes on wet boards are ineffective, as they let your opponent(s) realize their equity too easily. When a player straddles, they become the last to act preflop, and the first player to act is the person to the left of the. In this example, you have $14,000 in negative equity because you owe your lender $14,000 more than your home is worth. Other times, a min-raise can be most effective. The minimum defense frequency is 67% in this spot. But if a very competent reg asks this question you have to take it with a. If a player pushes all in against a single opponent, that player. With no chance of winning the pot at showdown, you have to rely on fold equity to determine whether or not you should bluff the river. Throw in that sweet sweet fold equity and it’s not so tragic. You want to get value out of your good hands. SB folds. Live Reads. 에퀴티 (Equity) 현재 팟에서 자신의 수학적 기대값으로, 팟에 있는 금액에 자신의 이길 확률을 곱하여 계산합니다. This is all about maximizing fold equity. In its simplest poker terms, fold equity is the value gained by you taking aggressive action that could result in your opponent folding their hand. The concept comes from semi-bluffing, a bet made with a hand that’s probably not the best hand right now, but a hand that stands a good chance of outdrawing any. If our opponent is folding 50% of the time P (winning) = 50% or 0. Finding Value In Tournaments. GameStop Moderna Pfizer Johnson & Johnson AstraZeneca Walgreens Best Buy Novavax SpaceX Tesla. Tonight is my live cash debut. They will often be paired, and have few draws available. If the Button was a weak player who would fold too often against 3-bets, this could be a reasonable exploitative play. It is also applied frequently in tournament poker as the variations in. It can be expressed as: Fold Equity = (Likelihood Opponent Folds) x (Gain in Equity if Opponent(s) Fold) To effectively use the equation, you must understand both parts. You decide to call. So, when we are on the flop waiting for the turn, we have 36% equity. We see BB calls 42% of the time with pretty much anything in the range that has flopped some sort of equity, and folding 48% of the time with the complete misses. Fold Equity takes the “equity” concept a step further and refers to the amount of equity a player gains in the hand from betting or raising and making their opponent fold. 5) = . 3 Are folding (0% equity) That means they have roughly ((12*. Specifically, Ace-Ten offsuit is worth raising from every position at a 6-handed table. In this spot, Villain is risking $37. If V is folding, say, 40% of his opening range to a 3-bet, that fold equity doesn't change if you 3-bet 64s, 87o, or A2s. Calculating equity is something that you will use all the time when you’re playing poker games online, with friends or in a land-based casino. 252K subscribers in the poker community. 5. How much fold equity do I need? I can win at showdown 10% at best. Remember that capitalising on fold equity to steal blinds was one of the primary reasons for open-raising. The pot odds of the turn check raise does not look like someone on a semi-draw trying to get you to fold a better hand. To play this pot, the player will need to win 20% of the time just to break even. R/Poker is currently in Blackout Mode due to…Nothing is easy around you. 結論： AK分AKs(suited 同花)/AKo(off雜色) Ako在cash game怎麼玩. So we check with the intention of seeing a showdown. 5/1 cash game hero in small blind with AJ♥️ stack 100$ played like 12 hands so far cutoff raises to 2 button has 110$ 3 bets to 8. The primary reason to three-bet is for value. You gain EV from folding worse hands that can outdraw you, however, you also gain EV when worse hands call you. SB calls and all else fold and we go to the flop HU. After all, the more players who fold during the round. Because of your strong hand and likelihood to win, your opponent might fold. BB’s MDF says they defend 75% of their range, and fold, at most, 25% vs this sizing. Closing It Out. Rarely, if ever, is a thinking player going to call with a worse hand. This means that when either an ace or a king rolls off on the turn or the river, your bets will render a ton of fold equity. Probabilité que l'adversaire se couche après une grosse mise. 51%, the player must fold. Rarely, if ever, is a thinking player going to call with a worse hand. But this is a topic for another article. Conversely you have 42. Solid smug guy 3bets $25 from HJ. whether a bluff-jam has enough fold equity to make sense. e. it looks like a good card for u but its actually a really good card for ip. But I think jamming all 3 combos with a Qd. So, if your fold equity is 80% and your opponents are 20%, you can raise bets and get them to fold. Chapter 5: How to Calculate Fold Equity? Fold equity in poker is the likelihood of your opponent folding to your bet or raise. There were still 240 big blinds back on the turn and nearly 160 in the pot, meaning that if he. How big of a bet you are facing if applicable. e. If the buyin is $10 + $1, and you start with 1000 chips, 1 chip = 1 cent for example. If you’ve got a 1,500 chip starting stack, the 6 max blinds and antes at the 50/100 level could be 210 chips and collecting these adds 14% to your stack. If he folds more than 38% of the time, this bet is outright +EV. Then you’ll get their share in the pot, making. They will then both fold (1/2) × (1/2) = 25 percent or 1/4 of the time. Liked by: 08-12-2023, 01:49 AM Same_again. Villain must call Bet or fold. A lot of plus players in NL think that you should always pre-flop with a raise. If our opponent is folding 50% of the time P (winning) = 50% or 0. the non-raked PF pot (which is +$5 not lost to dealer’s equity/rake) when it folds through. If you start worrying too much about fold equity, when the player across from you doesn’t have enough experience to fold many hands, you’re wasting time. Plus you run the risk of bigger stacks calling. Shuffle up and deal! Official subreddit for all things poker. Fold equity is an important and fairly simple concept that can help you to understand when your bluffs might be profitable. Well, equity refers to the share of the pot that belongs to you based on the percentage chance you have to win a hand at any given point. Gives roughly 34% equity in the total pot. For example, suppose you’ve bet $100 into a pot of $100, giving your opponent 2:1 to call (your opponent has to call $100 to win $200). This is the most complete poker course ever created, taking you from the poker fundamentals you NEED to know all the way to the advanced plays you WANT to know. It’s a couple of hours before sunrise and you’ve been playing draw poker all night. To get the most folds for the least amount of money you should generally raise to three times the big blind. That leaves like ATdd/KK/and I suppose heart FDs but why would they not barrel this turn that is incredibly good for their range where they probably have a lot of fold equity. Emotional Numbing. 8-to-1 underdog, meaning calling is a losing play. That combined with some added fold equity makes AQo a good candidate for a bluff squeeze. Equity on the Flop = 9 outs x 4. The bulk of your equity in the pot is no longer fold equity because you have a pair. Folding a hand with one out on the river doesn’t cost you much, as you probably weren’t going to win anyway. You want to have the right risk-reward ratio and the right fold equity. 67. The fact we can win a pot without having the best hand is a central feature of the game. Strip everything away and fold equity is the probability a player will fold to a bet or raise. Conclusion. If you do face one or more limpers, in general you can expect to have very little fold equity. Fold face up because "too many outs" to ever get there. GTOWizard helps you to learn GTO and analyze your game. When in position, tend to take the free card since you have no fold equity anyway. In smaller SPR pots you can use a fold equity calculator and Equilab to see how often a player would need to fold versus your shoves…and you can go a step further and use Flopzilla to estimate how often a player actually hits. To enter each player's hand, click on the respective suit in. There is also an optional "Trips" bet players can choose before the deal. Fold Equity. Fold Equity takes the “equity” concept a step further and refers to the amount of equity a player gains in the hand from betting or raising and making their opponent fold. It is based on the probability that a player will have the best hand after the cards are dealt. The fold equity equation is a simple calculation that involves two main components: the likelihood your opponent folds and the potential gain in equity if they do. 5. Fold equity. Clearly, if they make it two bets, you should always. Plus, A5s plays fine post-flop. At SPR 3, you would need $300/$700 = 43% equity to call a $300 bet. Small take for a minute then makes the call, others fold. Inevitably, opponents would have folded hands with better raw equity. To put it simply, fold equity is a subjective calculated percentage of the likelihood that you can make an opposing player fold. The best poker rooms. You will generate a lot more fold equity if you are the first person to enter the pot - if you shove over a raise or even a limp you are more likely to be called. This is an issue of equity, health, and justice. For example, suppose you open from the small blind, the big blind flats, and the flop falls K ♦ 9 ♦ 6 ♦ . On coordinated boards, our bluffing success will be low. this is also a really easy preflop node to have poor range construction in really odd sim. The blinds represent a significant proportion of your stack, so stealing them becomes absolutely key to your survival. Fold Equity: If you believe that your opponent has a weak hand and will likely fold if you are aggressive, then a semi-bluff can be a great move. = 36%. This guide will walk you through the concept of fold equity, explain the formula, provide step-by-step examples, and answer common questions to help you become a more formidable poker player. 10bb Push/Fold Charts. Fold equity = (khả năng đối thủ sẽ fold) * (equity hand bài của đối thủ). On the turn V makes a 2/3 pot bet. To the extent that you can automate this process, I’ve created some big blind defending guidelines to help you improve your poker tournament strategy. They want to increase fold equity now and not give too much headroom to postflop play. Note: Want to upgrade your poker skills? Get free preflop charts here and start playing like a pro before the flop. Furthermore, BB simply cannot realize their equity. The flop reads 6♣ 7♣ 2♥. Just a pretty unlucky spot. Equity-wise, it’s an underdog against premium pocket pairs like Aces or Kings, and is dominated by stronger Ax holdings like Ace-King or Ace-Queen. Anyway, the article provides some solid advice, but I think for beginners there are a bunch of. This causes us to simultaneously realize more equity and deny our opponents’ hands equity. Fold equity is the value of the pot based on persuading an opponent to fold. With no chance of winning the pot at showdown, you have to rely on fold equity to determine whether or not you should bluff the river. a standard Early Position raise of 2. That is vs. What is fold equity? Fold equity refers to the chance that your opponent folds to your bet—that you win the hand without having to show your cards—and the. They really want to see a flop. 235K subscribers in the poker community. Veterans suffer from high rates of mental health conditions, including PTSD, depression, and substance use. For example, if the pot is $100 and you think there is a 35% chance your opponent folds to a bet, you have 35% fold equity worth $35. QQ: I open UTG to $10. Fold Equity: If you believe that your opponent has a weak hand and will likely fold if you are aggressive, then a semi-bluff can be a great move. Nevertheless, you can still do it by keeping up your play and thinking about the game away from the tables. 251 votes, 71 comments. BOOM! Keeping his best poker face to not reveal any tells of his complete and utter confusion the SB quickly runs the calculation again, from. With all hands, your fold equity is exactly the same. If you are looking for a free poker equity calculator, launch the PokerNews one and use it to recreate any scenarios you lived at the. Most importantly, he has no fold equity. The 10 of them buy into a tournament and. CO folds. GameStop Moderna Pfizer Johnson & Johnson AstraZeneca Walgreens Best Buy Novavax SpaceX Tesla. This is something many poker. However, in broader terms, fold equity can be used to signify that you're putting thought into the fact that you can make your opponent fold. I yell at my Mom to hurry up as she tries to recreate the pokerstars Team Pro patch on my Run It Once hoodie. The action went L,L,L $20, Call. In a nutshell, though, it is the. particularly because it can get 33 to fold and it doesn't matter to fold equity if 33 can or not. We can even do very complex fold equity calculations with the same process: Let's say your question is: "The pot is $256, my bet is $340, 3 players, one of them only have $130 left. 88% equity when you jam. You can barrel more effectively on later streets, against which live players will often over-fold. First in with this size stack you're too short to raise and then fold, but too deep to risk your whole stack on poor holdings. Obviously, this kind of calculation is hard to make in-game when we don't know our opponent's hand. 7% (16/35). Balance vs Exploitative: Exploitative bet sizings account for the exploitable tendencies of your opponent so that you can maximise your EV. A good beginner strategy for a balanced check-raise is to occasionally check-raise some medium-strength draws that can continue putting aggression on future streets depending on the turn and river cards. " 1) Calculate your current total equity in dollars. Slowly making my way through all the free online information and the Grinder’s manual and playing live $1/2 when…I should fold a lot more from SB. Picking up that equity makes playing later streets much easier, as we gain the ability to bet, raise or call down. Join Date: Jan 2017 Posts: 1,536. Fold Equity. Dar, judecând după o serie de variabile, posibilitatea ca adversarul să foldeze te aduce în pole-position să câştigi respectivul pot. Based on the standard EV equation for a bet, we find: FE >= (Bet -X)/ (Pot + Bet -X) where X = Eq* (Pot + 2*Bet)This means if villain will fold 38% of the time, this bet is breakeven. Hands like 33 and A5o push enough equity when called but also benefit immensely from fold equity. Fold equity is displayed as a percentage, although it also has a monetary value attached to it. Fold equity is an idea in. Fold equity is nothing but the share of the pot that belongs to you, on the basis of the chances of your hand winning. There is a huge difference between a raw Flush Draw or OESD and one with added equity in the form of a combo draw. Actor. Fire the flop like you hit with a pot sized bet is cheaper with more fold equity I think. Fold Equity takes the “equity” concept a step further and refers to the amount of equity a player gains in the hand from betting or raising and making their opponent fold. upswingpoker. This means that you need to be bluffing one in three times in order to make your opponent indifferent to calling. Game dynamics changes the fold equity relative to the ratio of big blinds risked. Knowing how to read the board and analyze what possible hands can be out there is the. This is something that BlackRain79 discusses in much. In late position, you can open it up a great deal, but if there. ago. No matter if your hand improves on the flop or not, fold equity gives you the credit you need for your opponents' to lay-down to you. Against a 10% range you have an equity of 53%.